US election 2012: as he won New Hampshire, Mitt Romney sounded like a President

Yet again a step ahead of the pack, he yesterday released an advertisement in
Spanish aimed at Hispanic voters in Florida, which holds its primary on January
31. His campaign meanwhile announced it had raised $56 million in 2011, and
still had $19 million in the bank, far ahead of his opponents. He has
secured major endorsements in South Carolina, which votes on Saturday week,
and is beginning to attract them in Florida. He leads polls in both states
by double-digit margins.

As a candidate he has improved considerably since 2008, when he was both wooden
and visibly worried when obliged to think on his feet. As his eldest son Tag
told me during a recent campaign stop, “he gives a better stump speech
now and he is more confident in himself.”

Mr Romney’s more conservative opponents for the nomination, with the exception
of the maverick Ron Paul, lack his experience of a national campaign. They
are furthermore dividing the Right-wing vote, though in New Hampshire Mr
Romney won social conservatives with 42 percent, not a bad result for a
candidate who is supposed to struggle with that group.

Caveats of course remain. As a former governor of Massachusetts he was virtually
on home turf in New Hampshire and a big win was expected.

Many in the party regard him as a phony conservative because he once supported
abortion and gay rights, and because he passed healthcare reform in
Massachusetts that closely resembled the hated “Obamacare” legislation.

He will probably confront more criticism of his record at Bain Capital, a buyout
firm that made millions for investors but put thousands on the dole as it
restructured dozens of companies.

As he showed earlier this week, Mr Romney is capable of making mistakes.

Saying that you “like being able to fire people”, even in the context of proposing
that workers should be able to dismiss their health insurance company, was a
bad own goal.

But for all his weaknesses, if Mr Romney can keep the errors to a minimum, and
summon up the fervour he showed on Tuesday night more often, then the nomination
is his to lose and the presidency
could well be his to win.

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