Syria’s rebels will never defeat Bashar al-Assad, even if they are ‘armed to the teeth’, says Russia

It also suggests that the regime is on intent on capturing as much territory
as possible before the truce comes into effect.

But the pace with which government units have been able to advance, coupled
with a series of major battlefield victories in recent months, also points
to the fact that the rebels appear increasingly weakened.

While backing Mr Annan’s initiative, Western and Arab members of the Friends
of Syria, have explored ways of assisting the opposition.

The United States and Britain have both pledged to give the rebels “non-lethal”
military assistance, while some Gulf States have announced that they will
pay the rebels salaries in the hope of encouraging soldiers still loyal to
Mr Assad to defect.

Qatar and Saudi Arabia have gone even further by proposing to arm the rebels
directly — a suggestion that Mr Lavrov condemned as both futile and
dangerous.

“It is clear as day that even if the Syrian opposition is armed to the
teeth, it will not be able to defeat the government’s army,” Russia’s
Interfax news agency quoted him as saying.

“Instead there will be carnage that lasts many, many years — mutual
destruction.”

Mr Lavrov chided the Friends of Syria for hypocrisy, saying that offers of
support for the rebels only encourages them to keep fighting. Under Mr
Annan’s plan, the rebels are supposed to stop fighting 48 hours after
government troops withdraw.

Russia is desperate to see Mr Assad survive, seeing him the only Arab
protector of Moscow’s interests in the Middle East. Syria is home to the
Russian navy’s only warm-water base outside the former Soviet Union.

The Kremlin sees Mr Annan’s plan as the Syrian leader’s best chance of
remaining in power because it does not specifically call on him to stand
down. Western officials say the initiative implicitly demands Mr Assad’s
departure, although it only calls for negotiations between the regime and
the opposition.

Opposition leaders predict that Mr Assad will use loopholes in the vaguely
worded plan to buy time and say that the initiative has only served to shore
up his position by convincing wavering loyalists that it would be foolhardy
to defect.

A UN mission led by a Norwegian general, Robert Mood, is due to arrive in
Damascus shortly to prepare for the arrival of unarmed UN observers to
monitor the truce.

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