South Carolina primary: Romney and Gingrich now set for Obama v Clinton-style battle

It could easily come to resemble the epic tussle between Mr Obama and Hillary
Clinton for the Democratic nomination in 2008 that was not concluded until
June.

What will be crucial for the Republican hopefuls is not just winning primaries
and caucuses but the delegate count.

Each state awards delegates – more than 2,286 in total – who then attend the
party convention in the late summer to officially select the nominee.

The Republicans have changed their rules, and half of the 50 states will award
delegates on a proportional representation basis, rather than the
winner-takes-all system. In a close result, the winner can come away with
only a handful more delegates than the runner-up.

Despite the hullabaloo, there have only been three primaries out of 50 so far
and only 72 delegates allocated. Mr Romney leads with 33, with Mr Gingrich
on 21. The magic simple majority delegate number is a distant 1,144.

The race might not only be long but ugly. The Romney campaign thought it had
dealt with Mr Gingrich through a series of negative advertisements in Iowa
released by friendly groups attacking him for “having more baggage than
the airlines”.

Every weakness will now be probed and exposed again, from the former Speaker’s
three marriages to his accepting $1.6 million (£1 million) in consulting
fees from two housing boards that he had criticised as symbols of big
government failure.

In his speech on Saturday night, Mr Romney outlined future lines of attack,
branding his rival as a creature of the Washington culture he professes to
loath.

Mr Gingrich, for his part, will hope the money and the volunteers start
flowing in to his lean, shambolic campaign. In a somewhat tame acceptance
speech, he began by asking his supporters to “call anyone you know in
Florida” and ask for help.

There is a long haul ahead, he will need it.

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