‘Sarkozy likely to lose French election’

French presidential candidates have held their last campaigning rallies prior to the first round of the French presidential poll held on Sunday.

Press TV has conducted an interview with Christopher Walker, a political commentator from Washington, to further discuss the issue. The following is a transcription of the interview.

Press TV: Why do you think that Nicolas Sarkozy has lost so much support over the years?

Walker: Well, I think the main reason has been that his style has been very un-presidential. The French voters don’t like his whole attitude to the presidency, being very un-authoritarian.

Also, they dislike his right-wing policies particularly playing the American card. He’s been much closer to the American government and the British government over policies such as Libya than any of his predecessors.

Also, perhaps, most of all, he came to power, as you’ve reported, on a huge wave of popularity full of promises about how he was going to reform the French economy and sort of wake it up from its long sleep, but he really hasn’t achieved any of that. So it looks like a man who can’t live up to his promises and this has made him extraordinarily unpopular across French society.

Along with that, the activities of his wife, the First Lady Carla Bruni, who has previously been the girlfriend of many international pop stars has also upset the French. They feel, again, lack of dignity. They look to their president for a sort of very serious manner, and they feel he hasn’t shown that at all.

Press TV: Many experts say that Mohammad Merah, who killed three Jewish children and a Rabbi in France, was in fact working with French intelligence and that the terrorist act was in actuality a false flag operation for Sarkozy to get the Jewish vote. How likely is that statement to be true?

Walker: I think it’s fairly unlikely because you have to remember that before he went into the Jewish school he had in fact shot some French soldiers in uniform, paratroopers who had recently served or their unit has served in Afghanistan, and they were in fact Muslim soldiers of North African origin.

So it takes a pretty wild conspiracy theory to link those two things together.

Press TV: What about setting a scenario like a post-9/11 United States that, in general of course, the president that is in office at the time after such a tragic event usually gets a lot more sympathy and empathy, and a lot more solidarity from the people themselves?

Walker: Well that was the case of the United States. But if it was the desire of Mr. Sarkozy and some of his rather more murky intelligence contacts it’s backfired because, as you’ve reported in your news quite correctly, the Muslims who make up a large section of the electorate in France are actually determined to see him out.

What we haven’t discussed yet is that this is a complicated election in that it’s got a two week gap. So there’ll be a vote this weekend with 10 candidates, then that’ll be reduced for the final vote in two weeks to two candidates, so it rather depends on how those voters who voted for the other eight decided to distribute their votes.

There is a feeling particularly in France where I was last week that there is a swing to the left. The far left-wing candidate, the former communist, has done a lot better than people expected and is in fact ahead of the far right-wing candidate, Marine Le Pen, who is a fascist from the National Front.

So if his followers pitch their votes in the second time around, that will be of great help to François Hollande, the rather dull but worthy socialist candidate.

Press TV: How do you see it now? Our guest in Washington has said that he sees the situation taking a possible sharp turn to the left as far as the results of the election. Is it a sign that the electorate is basically tired, having voter fatigue, in dealing with it for example various things since 9/11?

We’ve heard so many different fear stories of trying to instill fear in the electorate that basically we saw a turn to the right, in general, across the world. Are we at the end of that stage? Has it come to the point that people are saying enough is enough and that we are losing more of our rights? How do you see it? What kind of message, do you think, the French electorate will be sending on Sunday?

Walker: I think it’s a very interesting message for Europe because, as the opinion polls have it now, the extremes of the left and on the right, plus the abstentions that people say that this won’t be voting, are much higher than those people allow to be voting for Mr. Sarkozy or Mr. Holland.

People are fed up with politics, fed up with the fact that the debate has been about abysmally low level. There hasn’t been a debate about the economic crisis that faces France of the debts and such like. It’s all been personal and this has turned off the electorate.

So many we’ve seen interviewed on the television as saying, ‘oh God, a plague on both your houses’, let’s have some grown up statesman arguing the real issues. This is what I call a sort of gossip election.

It’s been played largely around these religious hate cards which are really insalubrious. I think that’s reflected and I think everybody’s going to be looking at the vote to see how many people just didn’t turn up to vote at all.

GMA/GHN

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