Rudd could save Labor, poll shows



As Labor debates asylum seeker policy, Julia Gillard has taken another hit in the polls which show Kevin Rudd would revive the ALP.


Julia Gillard is meeting with her senior ministers this morning. Cabinet is expected to sign off on changes that would give the Immigration Minister discretion to declare another country suitable to send asylum seekers to (report), allowing the Malaysian asylum seeker deal to go ahead. The Labor left has also met early this morning to discuss the Malaysia deal. And Caucus will meet at 9am to discuss the revived the deal. Left convenor Senator Doug Cameron is promising a fiery caucus meeting, arguing: “My view is I will continue to push the position of the national platform”. But Ms Gillard is expected to secure the support of the Right for the deal. NSW state secretary Sam Dastyari is backing Ms Gillard (report).

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The stoush comes as a Fairfax/Nielsen poll shows today replacing Ms Gillard with Kevin Rudd would give Labor an election-winning lead. Michelle Grattan reports: Labor’s two-party vote, steady on 42-58 per cent from last month, would jump to 52-48 per cent under Mr Rudd. The former prime minister is preferred by 44 per cent of voters as ALP leader, more than twice Ms Gillard’s 19 per cent support.

Tony Abbott is in Canberra. Shadow cabinet meets this morning ahead of parliament sitting.

Ten years ago the world changed after the September 11 attacks. Yesterday the world remembered. The newspaper front pages of September 12, 2001 reflect the horror and confusion of that day.

The Australian reports: US President Barack Obama last night opened a sun-splashed day of solemn remembrance by honouring the 9/11 dead with a visit to Ground Zero, bowing his head at the cascading pools of the North Memorial Pond created in the footprint of the north tower of the World Trade Centre.

The Herald Sun reports: UNITED States President Barack Obama has paid tribute to Australia’s steadfast and heartfelt support on the 10th anniversary of the September 11 terror attacks.

Help wanted: There’s movement in the corridors of the press gallery, with Fairfax looking for a new Canberra bureau chief. The company advertised in its Saturday papers for someone with an extensive knowledge of Australian politics, contacts to match, sound news judgment and a media background. Applications close September 30th.

In Canberra today: The House and the Senate will sit. An inquiry into the Corporations (Fees) Amendment Bill 2011, with evidence from Treasury and ASIC, begins today.

On Q A: Germaine Greer, Barnaby Joyce, Paul Barry, Melinda Tankard Reist and Joe Hildebrand.

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The Sydney Morning Herald reports: LABOR would vault to an election-winning lead if it brought back Kevin Rudd as leader, according to the latest Herald/Nielsen poll.

The Daily Telegraph reports: THE boss of Craig Thomson’s union, Labor Party vice-president Michael Williamson, was accused of spending thousands of dollars on his union credit card for personal items including bedding, perfume, shoes and electrical goods in the 1990s.

The Age reports: PARLIAMENTARIANS have been bombarded with emails in support of a media inquiry likely to be unveiled in Canberra early this week.

The Courier Mail reports: JULIA Gillard will face a showdown with her own party this morning, with a group of rebel Labor backbenchers vowing to oppose plans to rescue her asylum-seeker swap deal with Malaysia.

The Herald Sun reports: JULIA Gillard faces a crucial week as she moves to revive the Malaysian solution, introduce carbon tax legislation and stare down leadership talk.

The West Australian reports: Julia Gillard will seek to rescue the scuttled refugee transfer deal with Malaysia today – and wedge Tony Abbott in the process – by proposing the Immigration Minister be given unfettered discretion to declare another country suitable to send asylum seekers.

The Financial Review reports: Hobnobbing with politicians inflates companies’ bottom lines and not just managers’ egos, according to a study published in the journal Accounting and Finance.

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Onshore: ONLY one in five Labor voters supports Julia Gillard’s desire to press ahead with sending asylum seekers offshore for processing as cabinet this morning considers legislation to get around the High Court’s decision striking down the Malaysia solution. (Michelle Grattan reports)

Stand-off: JULIA Gillard’s bid to resurrect her Malaysia Solution for asylum-seekers faces defeat after the opposition last night attacked it on four separate criteria and the Greens warned the Prime Minister against an “unholy alliance” with the Coalition to revive offshore processing. (Sid Maher reports)

Raided: LABOR is planning to withdraw hundreds of millions of dollars from the Future Fund in an unprecedented move that will help the government meet its promise of returning the budget to surplus in 2012-13. (Peter van Onselen reports)

Budget office: WAYNE Swan has launched a stinging attack on the Coalition over the establishment of a parliamentary budget office, accusing the opposition of trying to undermine the new agency and protect its election costings from scrutiny. (Joe Kelly reports)

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Kevin Rudd writes: IT is extraordinary that 10 years have passed since the Twin Towers fell. In so many respects it feels like yesterday. But the immediacy of the memories betrays the fact that in the decade since the most brazen and evil terrorist attack in history, a lot has happened, and still more has been learned.

Alexander Downer writes: LATE in the evening of September 11, 2001, I was watching television at home. It was a quiet night.

Scott Morrison writes: THE government’s great failing on its Malaysia proposal is not that Immigration Minister Chris Bowen failed to have a crystal ball on the decision of the High Court. The problem is that he failed to put any meaningful protections in place in Malaysia for the people, including children, that he wanted to send there.

Peter Hartcher writes: OOPS. We have long known that seven out of 10 Australian voters were unhappy with the way Labor discarded the prime minister they thought had been elected by the people.

Dennis Shanahan writes: TONY Abbott appears determined to keep maximum political pressure on Julia Gillard and try to split the ALP under the guise of negotiating a compromise on offshore processing of asylum-seekers.

Phillip Coorey writes: The High Court torpedo that hit a listing government amidships came just as focus was starting to shift towards Tony Abbott.

Joe Hildebrand writes: A FRIEND of mine said something strange the other day. He said: “I miss John Howard.”

Sam Dastyari writes: A YEAR before the May 1991 NSW election, there was speculation in Labor ranks that then opposition leader Bob Carr could be dumped.

Malcolm Farr writes: On Saturday night Kevin Rudd celebrated having one million followers on Twitter. “Thanks a million,” he tweeted.

Katharine Murphy writes: At Home With Julia might be short on laughs, but it is big on meaning.

Michael Gordon writes: JULIA Gillard has her best, and perhaps her last, chance to turn the tables on Tony Abbott in the asylum seeker debate today.

Dennis Atkins writes: TEN years ago, a barbecue at the residence of Australia’s then ambassador to the United States, Michael Thawley, attracted a stellar crowd.

Dennis Glover writes: WHERE were you when the first jet hit the North Tower? I’ll never forget where I was: listening to Kim Beazley speaking to an outer-suburban Labor audience about his noble dream of a knowledge nation.

Paul Sheehan writes: IN Greek mythology the Gorgon was a monster with fangs, claws, wings of gold, the skin of a serpent, and the head of a woman whose hair was a coil of poisonous snakes. Not friendly. Stone images of Gorgons appeared on many classical Greek buildings to ward off interlopers.

Malcolm Fraser writes: Gillard’s attack on the High Court sets a dangerous precedent.

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