Supposedly, Boko Haram has stated they would agree to a ceasefire on the
grounds that all its members are released from prison. The government is
reportedly refusing to those terms, but is willing to release foot soldiers.
One problem with the development of a ceasefire is that security experts
believe that the Boko Haram sect is comprised of numerous factions. Shekau
is thought to lead just one, albeit the one responsible for most of the
attacks. This will affect the success of any ceasefire talks, as they may
not be able to establish a deal with each and every element in the group.
Security consultancy Drum Cussac’s Peter Sharwood-Smith said, “The difficulty
is: who do they actually represent? Boko Haram is a big label for many
different command groups. Are they all being represented at these talks or
just some of them?” He also called into question whether the negotiations
“are going to achieve much”.
“Even some sort of peace deal would ease the pressure and allow the military
to mop up more of the breakaway groups,” a foreign diplomatic expert in
security in northern Nigeria said.
The last major attack by Boko Haram was carried out in Kano, northern Nigeria,
in January. Bombs and drive by shootings resulted in the deaths of 186
people.
Since then, Nigerian security forces have managed to suppress the sect, with
several senior Boko Haram members either being arrested or killed, such as
group spokesman Abu Qaqa according to Nigeria’s secret service.
Human rights groups have argued that Nigerian security forces’ aggressive
tactics have only served to increase hostility towards authorities.
Source: Reuters
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