Major parties sniff Denison opportunity

New polling in Andrew Wilkie’s seat of Denison has the ALP, Liberals and Greens all claiming they’re a chance of winning it off the independent MP.

The figures, which show Mr Wilkie and the Liberals have both improved their primary vote since the 2010 election, have been published by The Australian newspaper, which reports they were commissioned by the ALP.

They show Mr Wilkie on 23 per cent, Labor on 26, the Greens on 17 and the Liberals on 31 per cent of the primary vote.

Mr Wilkie has described the figures, which show him improving from the 21 per cent he garnered to win the seat at the 2010 election, as “very pleasing”.

But the other parties are also sniffing an opportunity in a seat that was held by Labor from 1987-2010.

Tasmanian ALP officials deny the polling was conducted by them but likely candidate Jane Austin says, wherever the figures came from, they will be improved.

“I’m not surprised by Wilkie’s profile increasing and I’m not surprised I guess by the vote for Labor being lower than what we would normally expect,” she told AAP.

“We haven’t really got a candidate (officially) preselected yet.

“I’m still fairly confident that once we start the campaign rolling proper those numbers will change.”

Ms Austin, who has been endorsed by the state’s powerful left faction, says she will spend the lead-up to the next election, likely to be late in 2013, raising her public profile in the seat.

“I’m a fairly positive person and I don’t shy away from a fight,” she said.

“I’m up for it but I’m under no misapprehension that it’s a tough gig.”

The Liberal Party will finalise its candidate later this year and state director Sam McQuestin said the poll, which has his party up nine percentage points on 2010, was encouraging.

“It’s very possible that we could win it,” he said.

“I think we will most likely secure the highest primary vote so I suppose it will come down to where preferences flow.”

Nominations for a Greens candidate close on Friday and, despite a two-point drop, they are also taking confidence from the numbers.

“What they show to us is that this is a winnable seat for the Greens,” campaign director Philip Cocker said.

“We will select someone capable of winning this seat and joining the other Greens in the Australian parliament.”

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