Labor blame game already starting as LNP state election victory all but assured

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Dennis Atkins and Steven Wardill sit down with Amanda Lucas for the last time to wrap the final day of the Queensland election.




ELECTION COVERAGE: Will she slay the LNP dragon? An emotional Kate Jones claims her knowledge and concern for the Ashgrove community far outweighs Campbell Newman’s. Madonna King with a raw and compelling interview.





Campbell Newman

LNP Leader Campbell Newman uses a fishing rod on a fishing simulator, as he tours the Tinnie and Tackle show at the RNA Showgrounds , on the last day of the QLD State Election campaign. Picture: Lyndon Mechielsen
Source: The Courier-Mail





THE man many in Queensland Labor blame for sowing the seeds of today’s defeat may have also provided the only hope of avoiding near-certain annihilation.


Instilled through a cap on the number of MPs introduced by former premier Peter Beattie, the advantage helped Labor win 17 more seats than the LNP in 2009 despite near identical primary support.

However, Labor’s only hope at this election is that the cap, which concentrated seats around its support, will prevent the doomsday scenario of a single-figure head count.

With the LNP certain to cruise to victory, the fallout within Labor after the election is expected to be the most vehement bloodletting within the party for a generation.

Some are already pointing the finger at the Beattie era for Labor’s less than magnanimous demise.

However, others are laying the blame squarely with Anna Bligh and her government’s asset sales for breaking faith with the electorate.

For election results on the go, or as a second-screen on election night, visit the Courier-Mail’s mobile-friendly election site @ couriermail.com.au/mpoll

The final Galaxy Poll of the 2012 election found Labor’s primary support had plummeted from 42 per cent at the last election to 30 per cent.

This means more than 300,000 voters – the equivalent of about eight entire electorates – have ditched Labor since 2009.

The LNP’s primary support has jumped from 41.6 per cent to 47 per cent.

On a two-party preferred basis, the Galaxy poll predicts the LNP will win 60 per cent to 40 per cent, a result that could reduce Labor to a dozen seats.

The Galaxy poll findings are mirrored by the latest Newspoll in today’s The Weekend Australian, which points to Labor losing at least 26 seats.

Newspoll found the LNP’s primary vote was up three points to 50 per cent, with Labor dipping to 28 per cent.

On two-party preferred figures, Newspoll has the LNP on 60.3 per cent with Labor on 39.2 per cent and facing a state-wide swing against it of 11.7 per cent since the 2009 election.

LNP leader Campbell Newman yesterday chose his Ashgrove campaign office to make his final pitch for support.

Mr Newman dismissed Labor’s warnings about an LNP landslide, promising to avoid hubris.

“We will conduct ourselves with humility, grace and dignity,” he said. “We will not let people down.”

Ms Bligh continued to warn of an all-powerful Newman government, saying the public service would be cut, developers given “free rein” and environmental protections scrapped.

She conceded her government faced a landslide defeat.

“There is no doubt that we were struggling against an overwhelming mood for change,” she said.

“That mood was there in 2009 and it was there very strongly in 2006 so we’ve defied political gravity twice and we’re very realistic about the chances of doing that again..

“But that doesn’t mean we won’t be out there trying to hold every vote and hold every seat.”

Ms Jones was unwilling to concede defeat as she played the local card for the final time and begged voters for support.

“I think the choice is between a local who calls this place home and someone who has said ‘I only want the plush office in George Street’,” Ms Jones said from The Gap’s FreshAz Markets, where years ago she secured her first job after high school.

“That’s why I’ll be voting for me and Campbell Newman will be voting for whoever is running for the LNP in Windsor.”

– additional reporting Koren Helbig, Sarah Vogler

 


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