Israeli attack on Iran, unlikely: Clapper

James R. Clapper told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday that “an Israeli bombing attack might only set back Iran’s nuclear development program by one to two years,” indicating that viable military options are far more limited than Israeli leaders suggested.

He added that US intelligence agencies cannot calculate with precision how much damage, or delay, an Israeli strike might achieve, the Los Angeles Times reported.

“There’s a lot of imponderables…including the targets chosen, how ordnance is used and how quickly Iran might recover,” he said.

Clapper also told the Senate committee that the US intelligence community believes that Iran’s leaders have not decided to build nuclear weapons but are pursuing technology that might allow them to do so.

According to Los Angeles Times, most experts argue that Iranian scientists now possess enough technological know-how so that no air campaign, not even sustained bombing by US forces, could destroy Iran’s ability to someday produce a nuclear weapon should it choose to do so.

Former CIA Director Michael V. Hayden told a group of foreign policy experts last month that Israel is not capable of inflicting significant damage on Iran’s nuclear sites. “Some are situated at the outer range of Israeli bombers, and others are underground,” he said.

“The Israelis aren’t going to [attack Iran]…they can’t do it, it’s beyond their capacity…. They only have the ability to make this worse,” Hayden added.

Earlier this month, the Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said if Western sanctions against Iran fail to stop its nuclear program, military action against the country must be placed on the agenda.

The United States, Israel and their European allies accuse Tehran of pursuing military objectives in its nuclear program, but Tehran refutes their allegations noting that as a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, it is entitled to peaceful applications of the nuclear energy.

SS/HGH

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