EU summit: Why David Cameron’s treaty veto looks less like a victory

By
Tim Montgomerie

Last updated at 1:04 PM on 1st February 2012

Less than two months ago David Cameron said ‘no’ to Europe. He vetoed a treaty agreed by every other EU member state to impose tighter fiscal disciplines across Europe.

As a result of his veto, Britain rejoiced. Just in time for Christmas, the Prime Minister won his best ever press coverage. His ratings soared. Finally we had someone in Downing Street who wasn’t afraid to upset other EU leaders.

The moment seemed exciting, even historic. Many on both sides of the great European debate – sceptics and enthusiasts – concluded that Britain was now in the EU’s departure lounge and it was only a matter of time before Britain formed a very different relationship with Brussels.

Le Snub: Mr Sarkozy seems to avoid Mr Cameron at December summit

Le Snub: Mr Sarkozy seems to avoid Mr Cameron at December summit

But today Cameron’s Christmas veto looks much less significant than it did. After he used it, he repeatedly promised to stop the countries which had signed that new treaty from using European institutions such as the European Court of Justice – which are part funded by British taxpayers – to implement and police it.

This week it became clear that he was not going to fulfil that promise. His resounding ‘no’ has become a tepid ‘oh, go on then’. Little wonder that Ed Miliband taunted the Prime Minister yesterday, saying the veto turned out to be just for Christmas, not for life.

The truth is that Angela Merkel, Nicolas Sarkozy and the other European politicians who want to set each others’ tax and spending policies are slowly getting what they want. They will, after all, be able to use EU buildings and institutions, notably the European Court of Justice.

Unlike governments in America, Canada and Japan, George Osborne is apparently ready for Britain to sign another cheque

Unlike governments in America, Canada and Japan, George Osborne is apparently ready for Britain to sign another cheque

Brazenly they have even said that they expect their fiscal pact to be a full part of the EU within five years. They don’t think Britain’s ‘no’ will last and that nice Mr Clegg, with a European flag on his desk, has promised to do all he can to ensure it doesn’t.

Actually, it is understandable that Mr Cameron is being accommodating.

The crisis in the European economy is at boiling point and a war over the use of meeting rooms and institutions isn’t going to lower the temperature.

Mr Cameron knows that Nicolas Sarkozy can’t blame Britain for getting the Continent into the eurozone mess – but the French president is itching for an opportunity to blame us for standing in the way of a solution.

At the highest levels of our Government there is little faith in the eurozone rescue plan. Last week, in a speech in Davos, Mr Cameron came as close as is diplomatically possible to saying the single currency was heading for disaster. He said it lacked nearly every ingredient that was necessary for success.

But what he will not be is the little boy who pulls his finger out of the dyke.

He is not going to be blamed by other European leaders for triggering market panic.

It’s for all of these reasons that Eurosceptic Tory MPs are not yet exploding with fury in front of the nation’s TV cameras.

They know Mr Cameron has diluted the veto but they understand the reasons. Furthermore they know the public will be appalled if the party starts tearing itself apart over complex and arcane questions about which European nations can use which European institutions.

Downing Street would be wrong, however, to conclude from this that the party’s Eurosceptic tiger has no teeth. The most astute observers of the Conservative Party know that the most telling event for the party last year was not Mr Cameron’s dramatic use of the veto but the rebellion in October of 81 Tory MPs calling for a referendum on Europe against the Prime Minister’s wishes.

The truth is that Angela Merkel, Nicolas Sarkozy and the other European politicians who want to set each others' tax and spending policies are slowly getting what they want

The truth is that Angela Merkel, Nicolas Sarkozy and the other European politicians who want to set each others’ tax and spending policies are slowly getting what they want

That rebellion was genuinely historic. It was a sign that the Conservative Party had become fundamentally Eurosceptic. For every backbencher who voted for a referendum on Europe there was at least another who didn’t quite dare rebel but wanted to in his heart.

The rebellious 81 are currently keeping their powder dry for the battles that count. Battle number one will be over the looming possibility that British taxpayers will be asked to pour billions more into the International Monetary Fund’s bailout fund to be used if the eurozone crisis get worse and triggers financial crises around the world.

Unlike governments in America, Canada and Japan, George Osborne is apparently ready for Britain to sign another cheque.

The tail: Clegg is in a minority in the coalition that supports the powers held by the European Court of Human Rights

The tail: Clegg is in a minority in the coalition that supports the powers held by the European Court of Human Rights

Yet while most Tory MPs understand why the Government doesn’t want to kick down the house of cards that is the eurozone, they don’t want us to spend billions of taxpayers’ money keeping it standing.

Battle two will come over the European Court of Human Rights. Will Mr Cameron truly stand up to the European judges who want – among other outrages – to give British prisoners the vote?

The vast majority of voters think the court has too much power over national life but there are influential people in Mr Cameron’s own government – notably Ken Clarke and Nick Clegg – who disagree. The PM risks fury on his backbenches if Mr Clegg again becomes the tail that wags the dog.

Battle three is the big one. If the eurozone collapses the European Union will be changed for ever. Some countries might form a smaller single currency area but the idea of a one-size-fits-all Europe will be dead for ever.

Countries will then choose different degrees of European integration – some will want lots and others, notably Britain, will want less.

The real question is whether Mr Cameron is strong and determined enough to fight for that different relationship with Europe? For if there is any sign of backsliding on this issue, it won’t just be bad for European policy, it will be bad for his premiership. In these difficult times the country won’t forgive weak leadership.

Here’s what other readers have said. Why not add your thoughts,
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The comments below have not been moderated.

FOR THE SAKE OF OUR COUNTRY AND OUR CHILDREN’S FUTURE, PLEASE PLEASE VOTE FOR U.K.I.P AT THE NEXT ELECTION. THE OTHER PARTIES HAVE NO INTEREST IN THE U.K, THEIR SIGHTS ARE ON SAVING THE E.U

Luke, United Kingdom – UKIP ? Is that the United Kingdom Immigrants Party ? I agree, they will certainly win the next general election.

Cameron you liar…UKIP please.

Just shows what a weak kneed failure Cameron has become, when Grommit sneers at him and is actually right to do so.

albert hall, hove england – OK Albert time for your medication, come along now and stop annoying those nice people at the DM.

Oh for a patriotic PM who makes a promise to our nation then actually keeps it. We urgently need a Churchill or Thatcher again.
– Peter, Sutton England, 1/2/2012 9:52…………….Closest w’ll get is Nigel Farage……so you know who to vote for next time…UKIP…….be done with voting LIB/CON/LAB…….all the same……all europhiles who will drag us deeper and deeper into EU……..is this what you want?…if not then you must vote UKIP…the only hope of saving our country.

DC is rushing headlong into an “election suicide”, with all these U.turns and non deliverance of promises made and we the public, will be back to square one and even further up the “swannee”.

dont be fooled by the euro sceptic line the tories would like us to believe there as keen as the other cretinous parties

The alliance with Czechia as the alone comrade has shown the deep downfall of Great Britain.

This thing is cleggies glove puppet so i would not expect anything else

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