Analysis: Romney continues his crawl to the finish line

Although he won, the reality is that Mr Romney only just managed to beat an
opponent who ultimately ran a poor campaign, flunking his big TV debate test
and making a series of intemperate statements: John F Kennedy made him want
to “throw up” and President Obama was a “snob” for
advocating college education – something to which most Americans aspire.

Exit polls in Michigan also showed once again that Mr Romney – the son of a
Republican Michigan governor who was born into privilege and went on to
amass a $250m fortune with Bain Capital – failed to connect with
middle-income earners.

His cause was not helped by his own series of gauche remarks that highlighted
his reputation a member of the elite, most memorably when he went to a
Nascar race in Daytona and admitted he didn’t follow motorsport – a very
blue collar pursuit – then added “I have some great friends that
are Nascar team owners.”

Such tin-eared statements will continue to damage the Romney candidacy,
undermining his credibility with middle-ground voters even before he’s
reached the start-line for November’s election.

And for a candidate billed as a relative moderate, the protracted contest has
also forced Mr Romney to tack to the right on several policies, such as
immigration and contraception, as he tries to energise the Republican
grassroots.

Although this might yet might win him the Republican nomination, polls this
week suggested it could damage his chances of winning the Presidency, with
Romney now trailing Obama among independent swing voters by 20 points, a
sharp fall since the campaign began.

Lastly, Michigan showed that Romney, while a solid CEO and a turnaround
master, is simply not a gifted stage performer A series of tepid stump
performances – including a tired victory speech in Michigan last night – has
many Republicans openly expressing misgivings over whether their most
‘electable’ candidate has the ability to take on a speechmaker of Mr Obama’s
undoubted abilities.

“We didn’t win by a lot, but we won by enough and that’s all that counts,”
was the way Mr Romney chose to characterise his big win. It was typically
weak form of words that could yet come to sum up a long, grinding run to the
Republican nomination.

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